Category Archives: David Van Knapp
Coming from the opposite direction from that article, here I use F.A.S.T. Graphs to identify which stocks from the 59 most commonly held dividend growth stocks persistently have traded at valuations that are lower than what F.A.S.T. Graphs presents as “earnings justified” valuation.
On the graphs in this article:
The orange line represents “fair value” as determined by F.A.S.T. Graphs, which apply Ben Graham’s valuation formulas to each stock’s earnings record.
Which Popular Dividend Growth Stocks Are ‘Always’ Overvalued? [PepsiCo, Inc., The Clorox Co, Paychex, Inc.] – Seeking Alpha
Putting the two themes together very recently, there has been discussion about Coca-Cola (KO) being a high quality company that never seems not to be overvalued. In the course of those discussions, it became clear that many feel that KO “always” trades at a premium valuation, so if you want to own it, you might as well accept that you’ll need to pay up for it.
The context of the original 10 by 10 concept relates to achieving a target: 10% yield on cost in 10 years from dividend increases alone. In other words, given a particular starting yield, how long does it take to get to the target for various rates of dividend growth? (Dividend reinvestment, which speeds up the process, is ignored.)
Dividend Growth Portfolio: Semi-Annual Review [Intel Corporation, AT&T Inc., McDonald’s Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PepsiCo, Inc., Omega Healthcare Investors Inc, Lorillard Inc., Darden Restaurants, Inc., Hasbro, Inc., BHP Billiton plc (ADR)] – Seeking Alpha
I have a confession to make. I basically skipped the April, 2013 Portfolio Review for my public Dividend Growth Portfolio (DGP). I got caught up in the excitement of the DGP’s 5th anniversary and kind of let the formal Portfolio Review slide. This is a catch-up.
For those not familiar, the DGP is a public, real-money, real-time portfolio that I launched in June, 2008. It is public and transparent to demonstrate the results that can be achieved with the dividend growth strategy. Questions are suggestions are welcome, but ultimately I am the CIO (Chief Investment Officer) for the DGP, and all decisions about it are mine.
High DGR Dividend Growth Challengers [Baxter International Inc., Safeway Inc., Darden Restaurants, Inc., Rayonier Inc., Rogers Communications Inc. (USA), Lazard Ltd, STERIS Corp, Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc., United Financial Bancorp, Inc.] – Seeking Alpha
These high dividend growth rate (DGR) issues seem particularly attractive to younger investors, who often feel that with several decades of compounding ahead of them, high DGRs are more important than high yields. They feel that they have plenty of time to develop excellent dividend streams. Examples of names that typically come up are IBM (IBM), Wal-Mart (WMT), and Exxon-Mobil (XOM).
This article provides an overview of three ways to visualize what’s going on when you think comprehensively about all of your financial assets for retirement.
A comment thread developed around the idea of stock prices, specifically about the difficulties an investor can experience buying more of a stock that he or she purchased for a lower price in the past. The point I made in the comments, and that I want to expand on here, is that if you shift your focus from price to valuation, the decision becomes clearer and less emotional.
I am a dividend growth investor, so I do not own shares in BRK. However, I have tried to learn as much as I can about how Buffett invests, because he loves to purchase shares of dividend-paying companies. He has expressed his enjoyment of dividends numerous times. And BRK’s wholly owned companies, of course, forward dividends to headquarters like clockwork. Indeed, the managers of those companies earn bonuses based on the cash that they send to Omaha.
The common theme is fear. Fear of losing money as prices slide downward for who knows how long. Fear of giving up in just a few weeks or days the gains that it took several years to achieve. Fear of falling behind a benchmark and never catching up. Fear of underperforming your neighbor.